BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina
Class: 1A Class Rank: 118 Overall: (2-3) Overall Strength = 154.86
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (0-1) | District: 1A-01 Record: (1-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09/01/2025 Home L * 144.68 14 48 1A 36 (4-1) TCU -10.18 -3.64 -23.82
2 09/06/2025 Away W * 163.19 20 3 1A 136 (1-4) UNC-Charlotte 8.33 20.96 8.67
3 09/13/2025 Home W 171.69 41 6 1B 71 (3-3) Richmond 16.83 5.96 18.17
4 09/20/2025 Away L * 148.93 9 34 1A 74 (3-2) Central Florida -5.93 -8.73 -19.07
5 10/04/2025 Home L * * 145.80 10 38 1A 54 (2-3) Clemson -9.06 -15.82 -18.94
6 10/17/2025 Away * * 1A 85 (4-2) California -12.19
7 10/25/2025 Home * * 1A 20 (5-1) Virginia -35.26
8 10/31/2025 Away * * 1A 75 (3-3) Syracuse -15.98
9 11/08/2025 Home * * 1A 93 (2-3) Stanford -6.08
10 11/15/2025 Away * * 1A 69 (3-2) Wake Forest -19.02
11 11/22/2025 Home * * 1A 33 (4-2) Duke -27.61
12 11/29/2025 Away * * 1A 43 (4-2) North Carolina St -28.24
Averages 154.86 18.8 25.8
Best game: 171.69 = 35 point win over Richmond
Worst game: 144.68 = 34 point loss to TCU
Team stdev: 11.98