BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina
Class: 1A Class Rank: 92 Overall: (4-8) Overall Strength = 147.52
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (2-6) | District: 1A-01 Record: (3-8)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09/01/2025 Home L * 128.70 14 48 1A 35 ( 9- 4) TCU -18.82 -3.63 -15.18
2 09/06/2025 Away W * 150.67 20 3 1A 134 ( 1-11) UNC-Charlotte 3.15 20.97 13.85
3 09/13/2025 Home W 154.17 41 6 1B 76 ( 7- 5) Richmond 6.66 5.95 28.34
4 09/20/2025 Away L * 130.47 9 34 1A 77 ( 5- 7) Central Florida -17.04 -8.70 -7.96
5 10/04/2025 Home L * * 132.86 10 38 1A 38 ( 7- 6) Clemson -14.66 -15.41 -13.34
6 10/17/2025 Away L * * 149.46 18 21 1A 82 ( 7- 6) California 1.95 -12.20 -4.95
7 10/25/2025 Home L * * 163.37 16 17 1A 32 (11- 3) Virginia 15.86 -27.01 -16.86
8 10/31/2025 Away W * * 164.38 27 10 1A 96 ( 3- 9) Syracuse 16.87 -9.08 0.13
9 11/08/2025 Home W * * 154.56 20 15 1A 81 ( 4- 8) Stanford 7.05 -2.41 -2.05
10 11/15/2025 Away L * * 146.14 12 28 1A 50 ( 9- 4) Wake Forest -1.37 -13.19 -14.63
11 11/22/2025 Home L * * 152.91 25 32 1A 44 ( 9- 5) Duke 5.40 -11.18 -12.40
12 11/29/2025 Away L * * 142.48 19 42 1A 37 ( 8- 5) North Carolina St -5.04 -15.41 -17.96
Averages 147.52 19.2 24.5
Best game: 164.38 = 17 point win over Syracuse
Worst game: 128.70 = 34 point loss to TCU
Team stdev: 11.91